2025 Canadian federal election

[11] The Official Opposition Conservative Party argued that the pension eligibility was the real motivation for the change, an accusation which the government denied.[12] Of the 80 MPs who would have become eligible for a pension if the election date was moved later, 32 were Conservatives, 22 were Liberals, 19 were Bloc Québécois, 6 were New Democrats, and 1 was an independent.[13] The date change was unlikely to proceed with all opposition parties against the change; NDP MP Lisa Barron confirmed she would propose a committee amendment to leave the fixed election date as October 20, 2025, and minister of democratic institutions Dominic LeBlanc stated he would "happily respect the will of this committee" if it had amended the bill.Kevin Vuong, despite being elected as a Liberal, was disavowed by the party too late to alter his affiliation on the ballot and has since sat as an independent.As well, the party in power does not need to obtain a majority of the seats in the House of Commons – and under the current multi-party system, quite often does not achieve that.[citation needed] The Constitution Act of 1867 requires that federal electoral districts undergo a redistribution following each decennial Canadian census.[18] On October 15, 2021, the chief electoral officer announced that, based on the formula in the Constitution Act, 1867, then in force, the allocation would result in an increase to 342 seats.
The transposed results of the 2021 election, if they had taken place under the 2023 Representation Order
Evolution of voting intentions according to polls conducted during the pre-campaign period of the 45th Canadian federal election, graphed from the data in the table below. Trendlines are 30-poll local regressions , with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.
2025 Canadian electoral calendaroutgoing membersHouse of CommonsOpinion pollsJustin TrudeauoutgoingPierre PoilievreYves-François BlanchetLiberalConservativeBloc QuébécoisApril 14, 2013September 10, 2022January 17, 2019PapineauCarletonBeloeil—ChamblyJagmeet SinghElizabeth MayMaxime BernierNew DemocraticPeople'sOctober 1, 2017November 19, 2022Burnaby SouthSaanich—Gulf Islands45th Canadian Parliamentfixed-date provisionsCanada Elections Actgovernor generalsnap electionsupply billmotion of no confidence343-seat electoral map2021 Canadian census2021 Canadian federal election2019 electionLiberal PartyPrime MinisterOfficial OppositionAnnamie PaulGreen PartyConstitution Act, 1867section 4 of the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedomsminority governmentsElectoral Participation ActDiwalimunicipal elections in AlbertaLisa BarronDominic LeBlancproroguedorder paperList of federal political parties in Canada2021 federal electionKevin VuongindependentLiberalismSocial liberalismCentrecentre-leftConservatismSocial conservatismEconomic liberalismCentre-rightright-wingQuebec nationalismQuebec sovereigntismSocial democracyDemocratic socialismleft-wingGreen politicselectoral systemfirst-past-the-postelectoral districtmember of ParliamentLiberalsoriginal ConservativesProgressive Conservativesmodern Conservatives2022 Canadian federal electoral redistributionConstitution Act of 1867redistributionCanadian censuschief electoral officer2012 redistributionPreserving Provincial Representation in the House of Commons ActSenateroyal assentElectoral Boundaries Readjustment Act2015 federal electionOntarioQuebecBritish ColumbiaAlbertaManitobaSaskatchewanNova ScotiaNew BrunswickNewfoundland and LabradorPrince Edward IslandNorthwest TerritoriesNunavutnotional resultsElections CanadaRon LiepertCalgary Signal HillWayne LongSaint John—RothesayRandall GarrisonEsquimalt—Saanich—SookeKen HardieFleetwood—Port KellsLloyd LongfieldGuelphJoyce MurrayVancouver QuadraOmar AlghabraMississauga CentreAlain RayesRichmond—ArthabaskaRichard CanningsSouth Okanagan—West KootenayAnthony RotaNipissing—TimiskamingEmmanuel DubourgBourassaTony Van BynenNewmarket—AuroraEd FastAbbotsfordCharlie AngusTimmins—James BayCarol HughesAlgoma—Manitoulin—KapuskasingRachel BlaneyNorth Island—Powell RiverGary VidalDesnethé—Missinippi—Churchill RiverColin CarrieOshawaPam DamoffOakville North—BurlingtonJohn McKayScarborough—GuildwoodKen McDonaldAvalonRobert KitchenSouris—Moose MountainMichael McLeodSeamus O'ReganSt. John's South—Mount PearlFrancis DrouinGlengarry—Prescott—RussellKaren VecchioElgin—Middlesex—LondonRené ArseneaultMadawaska—RestigoucheYves RobillardMarc-Aurèle-FortinMonique PauzéRepentignyDan VandalSaint Boniface—Saint VitalCarla QualtroughFilomena TassiHamilton West—Ancaster—DundasMarie-Claude BibeauCompton—StansteadLouise ChabotThérèse-De BlainvilleStéphane BergeronMontarvilleBrenda ShanahanChâteauguay—LacolleSean FraserCentral NovaChurence RogersBonavista-Burin-TrinityMarco MendicinoEglinton—LawrenceGudie HutchingsLong Range MountainsYvonne JonesLabradorAnita AnandOakvilleEarl DreeshenRed Deer—Mountain ViewHarjit SajjanVancouver SouthJenica AtwinFrederictonGerald SorokaYellowhead44th Canadian ParliamentBy-elections to the 44th Canadian ParliamentDenise BattersRobert BathersonAmita KuttnerErin O'TooleConservative PartyCandice Bergenconfidence and supply2022 Green Party of Canada leadership election2022 Conservative Party of Canada leadership electionConservative Party of CanadaGreen Party of CanadaSpeaker of the House of CommonsLouis PlamondonGreg Ferguselectedconfidence-and-supply agreementRandy Boissonnaultfalsely claimedIndigenousChrystia Freelanddeputy prime ministerminister of financeresigned from her positionJustin Trudeau's governmentprorogation2025 Liberal Party of Canada leadership electionCandidates of the 2025 Canadian federal electionOpinion polling for the 2025 Canadian federal electionOpinion pollsBy 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(1963–1965)27th (1965–1968)28th (1968–1972)30th (1974–1979)31st (1979)32nd (1980–1984)33rd (1984–1988)34th (1988–1993)35th (1994–1997)36th (1997–2000)37th (2000–2004)38th (2004–2006)39th (2006–2008)40th (2008–2011)41st (2011–2015)42nd (2015–2019)43rd (2019–2021)44th (2021–present)Federal political partiesFederal electoral districtsHistorical federal electoral districtsElections in Canada2021 federal2023 Alberta2024 British Columbia2023 Manitoba2024 New Brunswick2021 Newfoundland and Labrador2023 Northwest Territories2024 Nova Scotia2021 Nunavut2022 Ontario2023 Prince Edward Island2022 Quebec2024 Saskatchewan2021 YukonAmalgamated timelineFederalCanadian electoral systemElections Modernization ActChief Electoral Officer of CanadaNational Register of ElectorsInternational Register of ElectorsElectoral reformFixed election datesRights and freedomsElectronic votingFair Vote CanadaVoter turnout